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0xb92dd4...f31b33

0xb92dd4...f31b33
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
41.8%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
809
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
5.03
Max Drawdown
403.8%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
1.02
Kelly Fraction
0.008
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.8¢35.31Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY0.8¢122.444Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 6?BUY0.6¢170Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY24.0¢4.167Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY32.0¢3.125Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY5.0¢4.06Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY5.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY5.0¢2.09Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY5.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY5.0¢16.2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY5.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?BUY1.3¢20Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?BUY1.3¢1Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY0.5¢192.5Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 5?BUY43.0¢8.14Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?BUY34.3¢10.215Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 5?BUY28.0¢7.143Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 5?BUY27.0¢3.704Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢5Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢8Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%9%10–20%18%20–30%32%30–50%11%50–70%6%70–80%5%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity809 trades · 64 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9921d profit63d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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