0xb93c27...e3b4a2

0xb93c27...e3b4a2
Smart Score
76
Win Rate
27.0%
Total P&L
+$567
Trade Count
894
Sharpe Ratio
2.38
Sortino Ratio
350.77
Max Drawdown
14.2%
ROI
48.8%
Profit Factor
5.12
Kelly Fraction
0.217
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
075.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.3¢2Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 3?SELL0.8¢7.3Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on March 3?SELL0.6¢7.89Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on March 3?SELL1.0¢8.8Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 3?SELL0.5¢21.4Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 3?SELL1.0¢7.89Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 3?SELL2.0¢7Mar 2
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL2.7¢5Mar 2
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL0.3¢10Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL2.6¢11.1Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL4.0¢6Mar 2
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL2.7¢11.1Mar 2
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?SELL2.4¢6.92Mar 2
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?SELL1.3¢23.1Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 3?SELL8.6¢5Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 3?SELL4.0¢8.19Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 3?SELL6.1¢7Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL8.0¢5Mar 2
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March?SELL9.6¢5Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL9.9¢5.4Mar 2
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%99%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro75.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)68.8%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor1.97
Drawdown Resilience1.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.59
Weekly Sharpe est.1.21

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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