0xb94a65...00a623

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.9%

Total P&L

-$1.5K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.16

Sortino Ratio

-0.48

Max Drawdown

241.1%

ROI

-7.9%

Profit Factor

0.66

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	59.7¢	167.483	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	58.5¢	49.576	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	72.2¢	388.283	Mar 3
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	59.349	Mar 3
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	307.769	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	85.8¢	211.107	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	2,310.99	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	47.1¢	379.45	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	38.1¢	618.544	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	62.2¢	379.45	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	379.159	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	379.747	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	70.9¢	705.496	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	75.0¢	666.815	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	58.5¢	1,025.641	Feb 28
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SELL	4.4¢	1,014.96	Feb 28
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	BUY	35.5¢	1,014.961	Feb 28
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SELL	64.4¢	963.45	Feb 28
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	379.634	Feb 28
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	BUY	61.8¢	163.34	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.6%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.19

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity83 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,5187d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue