0xb95cfc...c47ec8

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.2%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

262

Sharpe Ratio

0.72

Sortino Ratio

7.13

Max Drawdown

68.9%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

96.34

Kelly Fraction

0.843

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

066.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	15.849	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	15.275	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	20.1	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	98.1¢	24.39	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	27.17	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	27.17	Feb 27
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.4¢	24.39	Feb 27
Will Solana dip to $70 in January?	BUY	99.5¢	11.839	Jan 19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	11.044	Jan 19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?	BUY	99.4¢	11.066	Jan 19
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	17.034	Jan 19
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	50.775	Dec 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?	SELL	98.2¢	10.26	Dec 4
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.8¢	20.08	Dec 4
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?	BUY	99.8¢	20.361	Nov 23
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	20.08	Nov 23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?	BUY	97.4¢	10.267	Nov 23
Ethereum all time high by October 31?	BUY	99.7¢	24.092	Oct 30
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.9¢	24.04	Oct 30
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?	BUY	99.2¢	26.23	Oct 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active66.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.8%

Win Consistency77.8%

Profit Factor1.74

Drawdown Resilience1.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.40

Weekly Sharpe est.1.07

Trading Activity32 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$3682d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue