0xb96a01...48000b

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.5%

Total P&L

+$2.1K

Trade Count

116

Sharpe Ratio

-0.43

Sortino Ratio

-0.63

Max Drawdown

791.5%

ROI

5.9%

Profit Factor

16.64

Kelly Fraction

0.540

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	6.2¢	80.645	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	92.0¢	5	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	92.0¢	206.85	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	92.0¢	3.783	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	90.0¢	222.044	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	48.6¢	2,256.58	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.0¢	33.37	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.0¢	10.38	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	43.0¢	48.853	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	32.0¢	515.34	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	48.5¢	1,736.144	Mar 2
Warriors vs. Grizzlies	BUY	99.9¢	3,202.102	Feb 25
Thunder vs. Raptors	SELL	99.9¢	3,037.59	Feb 24
Thunder vs. Raptors	BUY	99.0¢	3,037.596	Feb 24
Nets vs. Thunder	SELL	96.0¢	1.11	Feb 20
Nets vs. Thunder	SELL	96.0¢	105.47	Feb 20
Nets vs. Thunder	BUY	94.0¢	106.585	Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	100	Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	SELL	1.0¢	10	Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	9.8	Feb 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency43.2%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity116 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,92012d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue