0xb97468...0171c8

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.6%

Total P&L

+$25

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.83

Sortino Ratio

71.88

Max Drawdown

282.8%

ROI

7.8%

Profit Factor

1.80

Kelly Fraction

0.096

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	BUY	4.5¢	22	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	SELL	92.0¢	2.01	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	BUY	48.9¢	2.045	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	10.9¢	9.174	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	25.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	24.0¢	18.67	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	8.2¢	57.86	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	25.0¢	51.88	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.6¢	57.869	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?	BUY	37.0¢	13.514	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	20.833	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	15.9¢	9.44	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	SELL	58.0¢	15.46	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 3
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	10.638	Mar 3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	86.957	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	56.0¢	17.857	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.87

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.9%

Win Consistency41.0%

Profit Factor0.88

Drawdown Resilience0.71

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71

Weekly Sharpe est.0.54

Trading Activity64 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$612d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue