0xb978f2...fa7105

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.7%

Total P&L

+$120

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.84

Sortino Ratio

2.39

Max Drawdown

667.0%

ROI

15.0%

Profit Factor

8.36

Kelly Fraction

0.429

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	SELL	85.0¢	12.66	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	BUY	38.9¢	12.851	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	BUY	67.0¢	7.463	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	79.0¢	15.87	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	79.0¢	19.23	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	15.9¢	17.24	Mar 3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?	SELL	35.3¢	26.31	Mar 2
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	63.0¢	15.873	Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	17.241	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	52.0¢	19.231	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	BUY	54.0¢	15.222	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	SELL	24.0¢	1.33	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	SELL	26.0¢	7.69	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	BUY	22.0¢	9.091	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	SELL	75.0¢	0.74	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	SELL	74.0¢	7.84	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	BUY	45.9¢	8.715	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	SELL	28.0¢	0.62	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	SELL	28.0¢	7.69	Feb 14

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency42.2%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity86 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

+$211d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue