0xb9f38a...c72c32

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.7%

Total P&L

+$364

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.45

Sortino Ratio

-0.40

Max Drawdown

2823.2%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

7.65

Kelly Fraction

0.562

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	607.98	Mar 5
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	607.987	Mar 5
Thunder vs. Pistons	BUY	72.0¢	735	Feb 25
Kings vs. Pelicans	BUY	72.0¢	700	Feb 9
Open de Moselle: Tallon Griekspoor vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	51.0¢	22	Nov 2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	SELL	99.8¢	645.64	Nov 2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	645.645	Nov 2
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	99.8¢	648.64	Nov 2
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	648.648	Nov 2
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	BUY	46.0¢	45	Oct 7
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.5¢	543.17	Oct 7
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	543.173	Oct 7
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?	BUY	57.0¢	50	Aug 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.7¢	470.94	Aug 3
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.8¢	470.942	Aug 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?	BUY	50.0¢	60	Jul 27
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	SELL	99.8¢	521.52	Jul 27
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	99.9¢	521.521	Jul 27
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Jun 27
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	SELL	99.8¢	501.5	Jun 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency45.7%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity27 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1320d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue