0xb9f74e...054933

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.3%

Total P&L

-$159

Trade Count

368

Sharpe Ratio

-0.65

Sortino Ratio

-0.58

Max Drawdown

4262.4%

ROI

-6.6%

Profit Factor

0.65

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	11.89	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	7.067	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	49.56	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	49.568	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	19.185	Feb 23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	89.0¢	1.06	Feb 23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	2.12	Feb 23
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	6.38	Feb 23
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.0¢	2.12	Feb 23
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	54.0¢	2.12	Feb 23
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	5.31	Feb 23
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	68.0¢	1.06	Feb 16
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	SELL	0.8¢	1.06	Feb 16
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	3.7¢	1.06	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.2%

Win Consistency39.8%

Profit Factor0.06

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity368 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1499d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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