0xba0116...671eba

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.8%

Total P&L

+$15.3K

Trade Count

908

Sharpe Ratio

0.39

Sortino Ratio

2.47

Max Drawdown

39.1%

ROI

11.4%

Profit Factor

25.99

Kelly Fraction

0.805

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
RedNote removed from App Store before July?	SELL	1.1¢	147.13	May 18
Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June?	SELL	99.7¢	50	May 18
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?	SELL	98.5¢	56.51	May 18
Is Earth flat?	SELL	97.3¢	335.06	May 18
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?	SELL	92.0¢	900	May 18
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	SELL	87.0¢	1,110.83	May 18
1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?	SELL	95.3¢	430	May 18
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	BUY	87.0¢	19	May 13
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	BUY	87.0¢	61.538	May 13
Will the Conservative Party win between 41% and 44% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?	SELL	39.5¢	1,000.01	May 11
Will the Conservative Party win between 35% and 38% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?	SELL	99.9¢	1,000	May 11
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	BUY	89.0¢	75.92	May 6
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	BUY	89.0¢	3.95	May 5
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	BUY	89.0¢	1.38	May 5
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?	BUY	89.0¢	18.75	May 4
Is Earth flat?	SELL	97.5¢	100.02	May 2
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?	SELL	99.0¢	850.01	May 1
Will RFK ban pharma ads before May?	SELL	99.9¢	890	Apr 30
1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?	SELL	99.9¢	776.98	Apr 30
1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?	BUY	49.0¢	200	Apr 30

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.96

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.5%

Win Consistency69.5%

Profit Factor1.87

Drawdown Resilience1.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.51

Weekly Sharpe est.1.15

Trading Activity419 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

+$5,06418d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue