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0xba3580...2c9095

0xba3580...2c9095
Smart Score
80
Win Rate
52.5%
Total P&L
+$50
Trade Count
97
Sharpe Ratio
1.12
Sortino Ratio
10.67
Max Drawdown
13.3%
ROI
15.0%
Profit Factor
6.96
Kelly Fraction
0.450
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
079.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY22.9¢4.367Mar 5
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?BUY6.0¢30Mar 3
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY80.0¢15Feb 15
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?BUY75.0¢1.26Feb 15
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?BUY75.0¢8.74Feb 15
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY90.0¢13.333Feb 6
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?SELL0.2¢29.99Feb 5
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?BUY30.0¢9.08Feb 4
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?BUY30.0¢8.386Feb 4
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?BUY30.0¢12.53Feb 4
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?SELL25.0¢40Feb 3
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?BUY23.0¢40Feb 3
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY69.0¢20Feb 3
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?SELL0.2¢10Feb 3
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?SELL70.0¢18.57Feb 2
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?SELL70.0¢1.429Feb 2
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?SELL50.0¢20Feb 1
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SELL56.0¢3Jan 31
US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.3¢142.04Jan 31
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?SELL0.7¢4.76Jan 31

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%11%10–20%15%20–30%16%30–50%11%50–70%7%70–80%9%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro79.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)72.7%
Win Consistency70.3%
Profit Factor2.08
Drawdown Resilience1.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.68
Weekly Sharpe est.1.28
Trading Activity97 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$66d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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