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0xba3ce1...e22e4e

0xba3ce1...e22e4e
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
63.3%
Total P&L
+$4.4K
Trade Count
2,107
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Sortino Ratio
-0.07
Max Drawdown
638.9%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
1.69
Kelly Fraction
0.259
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢520Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL19.0¢284.31Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL19.0¢15.69Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL13.0¢74.93Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY75.0¢100Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢465Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY11.0¢1,000Mar 4
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL46.0¢999.96Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?SELL99.8¢512Mar 3
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY74.0¢500Mar 3
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY13.0¢185.253Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢4,783.63Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY81.4¢2,000Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢19.231Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢9.615Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢73.077Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢9.615Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢10Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢70.81Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢24Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%9%10–20%7%20–30%8%30–50%31%50–70%18%70–80%7%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.98
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.2%
Win Consistency58.4%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity2,016 trades · 40 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$115,85414d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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