0xba43c9...e69eda

Smart Score

Win Rate

11.1%

Total P&L

-$16

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.97

Sortino Ratio

17.63

Max Drawdown

26.1%

ROI

-32.8%

Profit Factor

0.42

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	SELL	1.5¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	28.1¢	49.99	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.3¢	400	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.6¢	170	Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	100	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,500	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	5.0¢	24.76	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	5.0¢	25.233	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Mar 3
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	80	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	155.97	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	170	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	24	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	2.02	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	24	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	24	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity26 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$182d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue