0xba6377...d16271

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.7%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.13

Sortino Ratio

12.84

Max Drawdown

38.2%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

051.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	86.0¢	39.95	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	64.1¢	15.606	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	59.0¢	10	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	71.0¢	70.423	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	59.0¢	46.88	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	10	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	20	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.2¢	16.888	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	91.0¢	39.95	Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	75.1¢	79.907	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	98.08	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	24.0¢	34.45	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	43.0¢	64.1	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	46.3¢	64.1	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	39.0¢	128.205	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	32.258	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	33.0¢	30.303	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	33.333	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	17.2¢	626.19	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	11.765	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing51.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.6%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor1.33

Drawdown Resilience1.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.82

Trading Activity35 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$621d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue