0xba81a9...9033ae

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.1%

Total P&L

-$49

Trade Count

469

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

1.63

Max Drawdown

202.0%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 5
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?	BUY	5.3¢	18.868	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	5.263	Mar 5
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	12.2¢	8.197	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	1.923	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	32.9¢	3.039	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	17.647	Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	7.0¢	28.571	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	55.0¢	1.818	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	41.0¢	2.439	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	35.0¢	2.857	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	2.846	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	SELL	70.1¢	2	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.9%

Win Consistency39.5%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity469 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$29513d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue