0xbac775...de6466

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

335

Sharpe Ratio

-2.15

Sortino Ratio

-1.89

Max Drawdown

11083.4%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.168

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	5.16	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	9.63	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET	BUY	98.5¢	5.076	Mar 3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.21	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ET	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	6.18	Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	7.21	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	57.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.7¢	6.37	Mar 2
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	94.1¢	6.376	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	8.081	Mar 2
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	10.2	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.4%

Win Consistency41.4%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity335 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$4778d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue