0xbad6ea...609963

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.3%

Total P&L

-$1.3K

Trade Count

2,603

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

313.0%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	44.59	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	44.59	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	39.59	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	44.59	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	SELL	13.0¢	9.09	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	30.0¢	33	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	50.09	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	SELL	13.0¢	90.91	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	32.258	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	17.65	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	86.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?	BUY	70.0¢	137.63	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	61.0¢	50.7	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	95.4¢	80	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	5.84	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	1.36	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	5	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	14.28	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	173.516	Mar 4
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	47.0¢	100	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.1%

Win Consistency49.3%

Profit Factor0.32

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity2,342 trades · 274 active days

P&L Calendar

$245,83841d profit231d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue