0xbaf67b...8890bb

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.9%

Total P&L

+$47

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.92

Sortino Ratio

941.10

Max Drawdown

4.9%

ROI

14.3%

Profit Factor

1.75

Kelly Fraction

0.111

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

065.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	6.4¢	85.78	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	BUY	70.0¢	12.031	Mar 5
XRP Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	10.1	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	17.6¢	85.14	Mar 5
Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8)	BUY	23.3¢	42.945	Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	11.7¢	85.784	Mar 4
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	15.0¢	66.667	Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	14.9¢	33.553	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	BUY	2.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	2.9¢	68.966	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	0.1¢	200	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	0.2¢	150	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	0.5¢	200	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?	SELL	0.5¢	286.71	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)	SELL	99.0¢	22.72	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	SELL	99.1¢	39.74	Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	99.9¢	55.55	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active65.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.2%

Win Consistency48.1%

Profit Factor1.69

Drawdown Resilience1.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.37

Weekly Sharpe est.1.04

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue