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0xbafc07...9f9a17

0xbafc07...9f9a17
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
83.9%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
200
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Sortino Ratio
-0.02
Max Drawdown
143.3%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
5.52
Kelly Fraction
0.687
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?BUY71.0¢1.408Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY95.3¢1.049Mar 5
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL76.0¢1.23Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL85.0¢1.13Feb 27
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY81.0¢1.235Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.136Feb 27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?SELL94.0¢1.06Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?SELL80.2¢2.29Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY86.9¢1.151Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY87.3¢1.145Feb 24
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL88.0¢1.12Feb 19
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL80.0¢1.17Feb 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY89.0¢1.124Feb 19
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY85.0¢1.176Feb 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL83.0¢1.16Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?SELL76.0¢1.29Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?BUY77.0¢1.299Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY86.0¢1.163Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?SELL65.0¢1.49Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%17%70–80%27%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.5%
Win Consistency58.1%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity200 trades · 50 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$83d profit47d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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