0xbb1bf3...7d4149

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

-$13

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.97

Sortino Ratio

-0.64

Max Drawdown

4428.3%

ROI

-4.4%

Profit Factor

0.28

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	8.987	Mar 5
Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?	BUY	99.6¢	9.618	Mar 5
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	790	Mar 5
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	790	Mar 4
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 on March 4?	BUY	99.6¢	6.024	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	11.552	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	23.649	Feb 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	91.0¢	12.088	Feb 3
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	17.383	Jan 28
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	16.366	Jan 26
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	16.345	Jan 23
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 19, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	16.279	Jan 19
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	91.8¢	16.34	Jan 19
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	31.231	Jan 16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	93.0¢	43.011	Jan 13
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?	BUY	97.7¢	30.706	Jan 13
China coup attempt before 2027?	BUY	97.6¢	45.164	Jan 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity17 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$2960d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue