0xbbe30e...4a7961

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

+$6.2K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

60.00

Max Drawdown

74.1%

ROI

36.6%

Profit Factor

3.48

Kelly Fraction

0.237

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

051.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Spain beat Portugal?	BUY	50.0¢	197.8	Jun 8
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.8¢	822.102	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.8¢	2,087.551	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.6¢	433.538	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.5¢	446.667	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.9¢	2,042.653	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.9¢	2,045.803	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.7¢	2,132.983	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.5¢	2,222.222	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.5¢	2,222.58	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.4¢	2,263.837	Feb 22
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.4¢	2,286.412	Feb 22
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	89.1¢	2,670.77	Feb 18
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	89.2¢	1,000	Feb 18
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	BUY	4.3¢	23,405.429	Feb 18
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	89.6¢	100	Feb 18
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	90.2¢	100	Feb 18
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	90.2¢	500	Feb 18
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	90.0¢	500	Feb 18
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?	SELL	90.1¢	1,000	Feb 18

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing51.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.85

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.1%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor1.35

Drawdown Resilience1.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.83

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue