0xbbf010...3728ae

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.8%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

110

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

67304.7%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.17

Kelly Fraction

0.097

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	14.267	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	15.138	Feb 4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage	BUY	83.0¢	18.072	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	25.041	Jan 11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Dec 29
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	BUY	89.9¢	24.383	Dec 17
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	92.2¢	26.92	Dec 7
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	BUY	97.2¢	24.825	Dec 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	95.9¢	24.13	Nov 30
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?	SELL	68.0¢	22	Nov 24
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?	BUY	80.0¢	22	Nov 24
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Nov 21
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?	BUY	94.0¢	15.564	Nov 20
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?	BUY	90.9¢	24.631	Nov 5
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BUY	80.0¢	12.5	Oct 27
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	BUY	4.0¢	25	Oct 27
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?	SELL	99.1¢	21.09	Oct 27
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?	BUY	86.0¢	21.093	Oct 4
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?	BUY	82.0¢	8.537	Sep 25
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?	BUY	98.6¢	16.6	Sep 14

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.1%

Win Consistency63.7%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity86 trades · 53 active days

P&L Calendar

$3959d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue