0xbc07b0...3d14ab

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.6%

Total P&L

+$48

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.57

Sortino Ratio

36.00

Max Drawdown

25.3%

ROI

23.9%

Profit Factor

1.42

Kelly Fraction

0.061

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	9.0¢	55.556	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	12.0¢	41.667	Mar 3
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	1,111.111	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	29.9¢	16.722	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	73.0¢	6.849	Feb 28
Will the US strike Iran next?	BUY	3.3¢	151.515	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.7¢	710.789	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?	BUY	2.0¢	250	Feb 28
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	35.714	Feb 28
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?	BUY	6.0¢	83.333	Feb 27
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand	SELL	99.9¢	16.12	Feb 27
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand	BUY	12.0¢	41.667	Feb 27
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand	BUY	31.0¢	16.129	Feb 27
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	BUY	8.8¢	56.896	Feb 27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	17.0¢	29.412	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	6.8¢	73.188	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	357.143	Feb 15
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	BUY	34.3¢	14.574	Feb 7

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.9%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor1.40

Drawdown Resilience1.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.86

Trading Activity36 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$1700d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue