0xbc07c1...923f74

Smart Score

Win Rate

89.7%

Total P&L

+$27

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.46

Sortino Ratio

-0.40

Max Drawdown

43.1%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

23.49

Kelly Fraction

0.858

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

055.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	324.22	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	334	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	4,570.28	Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	90.3¢	11.074	Mar 5
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 30?	BUY	99.9¢	1.401	Jan 29
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Aug 12
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?	BUY	81.0¢	22.556	Jul 11
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?	SELL	95.6¢	19.11	Jul 11
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?	BUY	98.7¢	19.119	Jul 2
Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?	BUY	99.9¢	18.868	Jun 30
Will Solana dip to $100 in May?	BUY	97.0¢	18.845	May 13
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SELL	0.1¢	2,276.55	Apr 25
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SELL	0.1¢	19,008.45	Apr 25
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BUY	0.1¢	21,290	Apr 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?	BUY	98.0¢	21.286	Apr 7
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?	SELL	0.1¢	20,865	Mar 27
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?	BUY	0.1¢	20,870	Mar 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21?	BUY	99.3¢	20.866	Mar 19
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?	SELL	0.1¢	6,619.96	Mar 15
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?	SELL	0.1¢	14,105.04	Mar 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active55.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.4%

Win Consistency52.0%

Profit Factor1.44

Drawdown Resilience1.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.89

Trading Activity15 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,3020d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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