0xbc976f...78fd78

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.4%

Total P&L

-$237

Trade Count

146

Sharpe Ratio

-0.08

Sortino Ratio

-0.28

Max Drawdown

174.7%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?	BUY	5.1¢	160.784	Feb 2
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	SELL	24.1¢	1,872.62	Feb 2
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	1,991.68	Feb 2
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	BUY	63.0¢	31.746	Feb 1
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	BUY	63.0¢	31.746	Feb 1
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	166.66	Feb 1
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01?	SELL	58.0¢	232.55	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	38.2¢	1,047.295	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	36.3¢	825.333	Feb 1
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01?	BUY	43.0¢	232.558	Feb 1
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs	BUY	35.0¢	285.714	Feb 1
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	SELL	95.0¢	606.39	Feb 1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?	SELL	20.0¢	54.34	Jan 31
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?	SELL	6.0¢	103.83	Jan 31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?	BUY	46.0¢	54.348	Jan 31
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?	BUY	48.2¢	103.833	Jan 31
Will NEC win on 2026-01-31?	SELL	94.0¢	100	Jan 31
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	BUY	56.9¢	1,054.184	Jan 31
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	BUY	66.0¢	606.391	Jan 31
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?	BUY	26.3¢	190.425	Jan 31

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.0%

Win Consistency36.0%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity146 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$6343d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue