0xbce529...bd5a14

0xbce529...bd5a14
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
90.1%
Total P&L
-$61
Trade Count
81
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34
Sortino Ratio
-0.23
Max Drawdown
9200.0%
ROI
-3.3%
Profit Factor
0.21
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.4¢77.052Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY99.9¢76.076Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY98.8¢61.741Feb 12
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?BUY99.9¢15.015Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY99.7¢74.754Feb 9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?BUY99.7¢2.006Feb 9
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?BUY99.9¢72.072Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY99.6¢2.008Jan 30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY99.7¢2.006Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY99.9¢25.025Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?BUY99.5¢1.005Jan 14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY99.9¢26.026Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?BUY99.0¢22.222Dec 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?BUY98.7¢21.185Dec 17
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY99.7¢2.006Dec 17
TikTok sale announced in 2025?BUY98.4¢1.016Dec 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?BUY99.9¢1.001Dec 17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?BUY99.0¢23.9Dec 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 13?BUY99.8¢1.002Dec 13
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%88%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency64.2%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity60 trades · 24 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,2340d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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