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0xbced56...b87f66

0xbced56...b87f66
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
41.8%
Total P&L
+$3.9K
Trade Count
3,667
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
18.72
Max Drawdown
1526.3%
ROI
15.7%
Profit Factor
32.10
Kelly Fraction
0.405
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
045.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.1¢86.91Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY83.9¢11.79Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY77.0¢12.98Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY52.0¢19.04Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL93.0¢17.94Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL20.0¢35.71Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY81.2¢6.08Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY84.3¢5.86Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY84.0¢6Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL88.0¢11.76Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY28.0¢10.91Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY28.0¢21.26Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY28.0¢3.54Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL4.0¢105.26Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL55.0¢28.77Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL2.0¢165.28Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL88.0¢11.86Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY10.0¢105.26Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL11.6¢47.42Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL18.0¢125.39Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%39%10–20%14%20–30%11%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing45.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.2%
Win Consistency53.4%
Profit Factor1.18
Drawdown Resilience0.95
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95
Weekly Sharpe est.0.72
Trading Activity3,667 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6111d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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