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0xbd088a...232c93

0xbd088a...232c93
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
54.5%
Total P&L
+$477
Trade Count
513
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Sortino Ratio
0.69
Max Drawdown
1858.5%
ROI
2.3%
Profit Factor
1.44
Kelly Fraction
0.167
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY14.9¢67.333Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY82.8¢30.193Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY54.0¢16.667Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL64.0¢100.3Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL62.0¢16.88Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL60.7¢96Mar 4
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?SELL0.1¢333.33Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL41.7¢11.16Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY51.5¢102.885Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY50.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY9.0¢7.407Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY9.0¢4.1Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY9.0¢0.94Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY9.0¢0.05Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?SELL75.2¢32.22Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?SELL71.0¢9.99Mar 4
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?SELL84.0¢18.25Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?SELL74.5¢50Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢33.79Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?BUY60.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%4%10–20%14%20–30%30%30–50%25%50–70%8%70–80%5%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.30
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.5%
Win Consistency52.1%
Profit Factor0.61
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity513 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,40613d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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