0xbd39df...addd9d

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.1%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.42

Sortino Ratio

-0.26

Max Drawdown

900.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

3.11

Kelly Fraction

0.638

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	82.102	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	82.022	Mar 2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	81.942	Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?	BUY	99.8¢	81.854	Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	92.4¢	21.645	Jan 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?	BUY	99.9¢	76.346	Jan 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	76.266	Jan 9
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.171	Jan 9
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.321	Jan 9
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.211	Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?	BUY	99.9¢	79.889	Jan 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	79.81	Dec 30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	79.158	Dec 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?	BUY	99.9¢	79.569	Dec 11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 5?	BUY	99.9¢	79.489	Dec 5
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?	BUY	99.9¢	75.405	Nov 30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	75.335	Nov 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?	BUY	99.8¢	75.261	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	22.022	Nov 10
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	3.003	Nov 10

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity43 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4282d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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