0xbd839b...b22bd8

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.9%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.82

Sortino Ratio

-1.24

Max Drawdown

273.4%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

1.18

Kelly Fraction

0.055

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	36.4¢	2.747	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?	SELL	82.0¢	1.25	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	SELL	63.0¢	2.12	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?	SELL	59.0¢	1.36	Feb 17
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 17?	SELL	2.0¢	1.44	Feb 17
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 17?	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?	BUY	73.0¢	1.37	Feb 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?	SELL	85.0¢	1.47	Feb 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Feb 16
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 10?	BUY	49.0¢	2.041	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Feb 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?	BUY	67.4¢	1.484	Feb 9
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	SELL	98.2¢	1.49	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Feb 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?	SELL	40.7¢	2.56	Feb 7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?	SELL	32.5¢	3.35	Feb 7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?	BUY	29.8¢	3.356	Feb 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Feb 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.9%

Win Consistency38.5%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity72 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$29d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue