0xbd9109...c56262

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.3%

Total P&L

+$352

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

1.39

Sortino Ratio

4.57

Max Drawdown

55.3%

ROI

5.9%

Profit Factor

5.50

Kelly Fraction

0.445

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

067.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	7.44	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	1.57	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	16.8¢	7.07	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.1¢	9.01	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	15.5¢	6.45	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	12.5¢	8.4	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 6?	SELL	30.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	21.0¢	5.26	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 6?	BUY	26.2¢	5	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.9¢	8.4	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	21.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	17.8¢	5.62	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	48.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	19.8¢	6.54	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	15.3¢	6.54	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	44.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	18.2¢	7.04	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	2.83	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	19.0¢	2.43	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	14.2¢	7.04	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active67.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)61.2%

Win Consistency49.0%

Profit Factor1.75

Drawdown Resilience1.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.41

Weekly Sharpe est.1.08

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

+$14617d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue