0xbdd79b...f7bf6e

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.0%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

430

Sharpe Ratio

-1.70

Sortino Ratio

-1.52

Max Drawdown

1933.2%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

2.20

Kelly Fraction

0.343

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	9.317	Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	5.14	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	18.18	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	18.182	Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	5.133	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.0¢	7.29	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.0¢	7.292	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	10.24	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	20.2	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	20.202	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	10.225	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	11.53	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	6.12	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.1¢	6.15	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.6¢	8.61	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.7¢	8.28	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	11.78	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	6.122	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	73.0¢	5.1	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.5%

Win Consistency43.6%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity430 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$4928d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue