0xbdf652...c4c61b

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.1%

Total P&L

-$3.0K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

1.42

Sortino Ratio

17.39

Max Drawdown

485.1%

ROI

-19.1%

Profit Factor

0.68

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	75.0¢	3.627	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	75.0¢	46.36	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	81.0¢	29.1	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	81.0¢	8.368	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	81.0¢	12.526	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	41.0¢	19.57	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	47	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	18	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	33.0¢	63.14	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	32.3¢	33.83	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?	SELL	98.4¢	47	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	34.2¢	117	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	97.6¢	100	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	97.9¢	150	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	98.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	SELL	27.0¢	32.75	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.1%

Win Consistency35.4%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,4551d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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