0xbe8e29...76c44a

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.3%

Total P&L

+$157

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.28

Max Drawdown

381.5%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.73

Kelly Fraction

0.195

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,099.6	Mar 5
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,099.6	Mar 5
Blues vs. Kraken	BUY	44.0¢	203.59	Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,188.93	Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,188.93	Mar 4
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,036.63	Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,036.63	Mar 3
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,088.79	Mar 2
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,088.79	Mar 2
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	922	Mar 2
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	922	Mar 1
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?	BUY	61.0¢	276.34	Mar 1
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	1,171.77	Mar 1
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	1,171.77	Mar 1
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	1,182	Mar 1
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	1,182	Feb 28
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.7¢	1,240.27	Feb 28
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.8¢	1,240.27	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.3¢	35.811	Feb 27
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,060.18	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%

Win Consistency28.6%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity94 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0570d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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