0xbeb2bf...29376d

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.3%

Total P&L

-$875

Trade Count

867

Sharpe Ratio

-0.13

Sortino Ratio

-0.11

Max Drawdown

155.2%

ROI

-3.0%

Profit Factor

0.68

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	83.4¢	25	Mar 5
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	47	Mar 4
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	52	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	79.0¢	30	Mar 4
Another Canada election called by June 30?	BUY	87.0¢	23.74	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?	BUY	88.0¢	29	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	BUY	90.8¢	0.24	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	BUY	91.0¢	52	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	83.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.6¢	28	Mar 4
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	BUY	87.0¢	58	Mar 4
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	SELL	35.1¢	27	Mar 4
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?	BUY	96.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	92.0¢	16	Mar 4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	BUY	86.0¢	18	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	55	Mar 4
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	8.54	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	62	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	56.5	Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?	BUY	89.0¢	17	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.7%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity867 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,93619d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue