0xbeb6ca...c85ba8

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.0%

Total P&L

-$174

Trade Count

611

Sharpe Ratio

0.22

Sortino Ratio

3.23

Max Drawdown

238.0%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	416.71	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	95.2¢	416.708	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.2¢	23.91	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	23.91	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	47.81	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	31.87	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	42.49	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	56.66	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	75.54	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	100.72	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	3.9¢	408.974	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	2.2¢	200	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	96.9¢	21	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.9¢	565.263	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	97.6¢	11	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	434.913	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	SELL	11.7¢	391.3	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?	BUY	2.3¢	391.304	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	387.55	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	387.552	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.3%

Win Consistency49.0%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity611 trades · 104 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,24243d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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