0xbec37d...0c8f3a

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.7%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

0.51

Sortino Ratio

137.24

Max Drawdown

843.6%

ROI

-3.4%

Profit Factor

0.87

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	6.833	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	16.0¢	3.44	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	84.0¢	4.76	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	21.0¢	4.762	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	18.4¢	10.87	Mar 4
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 3
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 3
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	9.0¢	14.28	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	7.14	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	SELL	15.0¢	18.5	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	20.7¢	4.831	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.4¢	4.464	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	28.3¢	10.2	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.6%

Win Consistency42.1%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity102 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$471d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue