0xbec65c...5a814d

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.3%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.56

Sortino Ratio

3.23

Max Drawdown

2500.0%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

205.28

Kelly Fraction

0.929

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	5.2¢	513	Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	5.2¢	720	Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	5.2¢	1,455	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.4¢	48	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	70	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	80	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	420	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	3.1¢	2.85	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	621	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	96.2¢	412	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	96.2¢	560	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	96.3¢	211	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	96.3¢	761	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	98.2¢	1,004	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	98.0¢	348	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	98.2¢	1,352	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	74.9¢	1,773	Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	74.9¢	1,773	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	6.2¢	36.54	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	6.2¢	22.48	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.6%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor1.27

Drawdown Resilience1.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.78

Trading Activity90 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1445d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue