Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xbef7bb...730b4d

0xbef7bb...730b4d
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
20.9%
Total P&L
-$583
Trade Count
1,358
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
23.83
Max Drawdown
61.4%
ROI
-2.3%
Profit Factor
0.83
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL23.2¢28.93Mar 5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?SELL30.8¢41.29Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?SELL26.0¢28.92Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY28.0¢57.857Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL33.1¢200.31Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL21.9¢136.66Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY6.0¢136.667Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL71.8¢298.35Mar 4
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?BUY33.0¢10Mar 4
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?BUY49.0¢20Mar 4
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?BUY8.3¢39.824Mar 4
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.3¢100Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY5.4¢126.111Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY33.0¢200.303Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL34.0¢147.44Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY33.9¢147.449Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL64.2¢518.61Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL18.5¢80Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY4.5¢41.556Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY50.0¢80Mar 3

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%39%< 10%24%10–20%14%20–30%16%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.1%
Win Consistency36.3%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.64
Trading Activity1,358 trades · 98 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,01027d profit70d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics