0xbf333f...3783ba

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.6%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.82

Sortino Ratio

3.01

Max Drawdown

23.7%

ROI

25.9%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	20.0¢	3,607.05	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	3,607.05	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	85.0¢	95.54	Mar 1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	85.0¢	108.46	Mar 1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	17.0¢	204	Feb 28
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.3¢	51	Feb 27
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	6.7¢	0.25	Feb 27
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	6.7¢	50.75	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	538	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	21.0¢	538	Feb 27
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?	SELL	1.4¢	15	Nov 18
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?	SELL	3.4¢	200	Nov 15
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?	BUY	3.4¢	215	Nov 15
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	SELL	3.1¢	600	Nov 14
USDT depeg in 2025?	SELL	3.0¢	400	Nov 13
USDT depeg in 2025?	BUY	3.0¢	400	Nov 13
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	BUY	3.4¢	600	Nov 12
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?	SELL	3.9¢	1,200	Nov 12
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?	BUY	3.9¢	1,200	Nov 12
Yoon out of custody by March 31?	BUY	19.4¢	100	Nov 9

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity37 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$5086d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue