0xbf429d...98d6ab

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.1%

Total P&L

-$19

Trade Count

238

Sharpe Ratio

-0.08

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

15748.5%

ROI

-4.6%

Profit Factor

0.42

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	3.659	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	94.0¢	3.48	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	3.37	Feb 26
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	SELL	94.4¢	2.12	Feb 25
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	SELL	81.0¢	3.57	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	3.22	Feb 25
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	SELL	45.0¢	5.26	Feb 23
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?	SELL	96.0¢	1.97	Feb 23
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	3.529	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	3.226	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	3.333	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	3.488	Feb 21
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	1.97	Feb 21
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	SELL	98.2¢	3.48	Feb 21
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	3.4	Feb 15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	3.488	Feb 14
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	57.0¢	5.263	Feb 14
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	3.371	Feb 14
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?	SELL	97.5¢	3.37	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?	BUY	95.3¢	3.148	Feb 14

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.2%

Win Consistency56.1%

Profit Factor0.01

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity238 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$6116d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue