0xbf4684...85db67

Smart Score

Win Rate

4.4%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

1,153

Sharpe Ratio

3.10

Sortino Ratio

165.94

Max Drawdown

14.4%

ROI

3.9%

Profit Factor

10.44

Kelly Fraction

0.040

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

070.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	2.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	SELL	26.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	28.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?	SELL	1.9¢	10.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	15.8¢	1.94	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	22.0¢	3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	2.2¢	6.1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?	BUY	0.6¢	35	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	3.82	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	SELL	10.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	1.176	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	16.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	16.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	18.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	22.0¢	1.97	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	SELL	7.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	SELL	1.8¢	11	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active70.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.90

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.5%

Win Consistency66.1%

Profit Factor1.84

Drawdown Resilience1.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.49

Weekly Sharpe est.1.13

Trading Activity1,153 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

+$84d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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