0xbf51d7...565c87

0xbf51d7...565c87
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
26.5%
Total P&L
-$650
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
-3.25
Sortino Ratio
-7.35
Max Drawdown
350.2%
ROI
-15.5%
Profit Factor
1.13
Kelly Fraction
0.029
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY1.0¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.7¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.8¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?BUY4.1¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?BUY2.7¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY33.0¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY3.4¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.6¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?BUY10.0¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?BUY0.4¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?BUY21.0¢5Mar 5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?BUY7.8¢5Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.4¢1.1Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY72.5¢1.1Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY15.0¢1.1Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY1.0¢1.1Mar 5
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.3¢1.1Mar 5
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%6%10–20%7%20–30%6%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency30.8%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4,1900d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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