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0xbf5fa1...8b213a

0xbf5fa1...8b213a
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
73.3%
Total P&L
+$2.8K
Trade Count
264
Sharpe Ratio
1.11
Sortino Ratio
10.48
Max Drawdown
4877.2%
ROI
31.6%
Profit Factor
5.49
Kelly Fraction
0.600
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.8¢130Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢130Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.4¢60Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY2.7¢60Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢110Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢110Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢70Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.8¢70Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.0¢110Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY1.1¢110Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢140Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢140Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.0¢148.38Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢148.385Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢90Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.6¢90Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY99.0¢100Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY1.1¢100Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL2.0¢50Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY2.6¢50Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%41%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.8%
Win Consistency42.7%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity264 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,3290d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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