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0xbf6bdc...736d9d

0xbf6bdc...736d9d
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
25.4%
Total P&L
-$808
Trade Count
98
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
44.47
Max Drawdown
6772.8%
ROI
-16.9%
Profit Factor
0.36
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.6¢1,801.667Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY67.4¢21.216Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?SELL0.6¢2,500Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY8.8¢115.865Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY7.0¢128.571Mar 2
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?SELL3.8¢507.91Mar 2
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1¢10,000Feb 24
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?SELL2.2¢468.83Feb 24
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5¢1,977.5Feb 24
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?SELL3.5¢288.05Feb 24
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY1.6¢637.5Feb 24
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL3.8¢264.2Feb 24
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?BUY4.0¢288.05Feb 15
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY8.0¢125Feb 15
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?BUY3.3¢305.421Feb 15
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?BUY0.4¢2,500Feb 14
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY3.8¢264.209Feb 14
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?BUY4.0¢252.969Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY69.0¢28.986Feb 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%36%< 10%17%10–20%14%20–30%13%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.4%
Win Consistency32.8%
Profit Factor0.10
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity98 trades · 23 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,5114d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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