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0xbf7cdf...8f821e

0xbf7cdf...8f821e
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
66.3%
Total P&L
+$145
Trade Count
135
Sharpe Ratio
0.48
Sortino Ratio
4.07
Max Drawdown
5544.2%
ROI
1.2%
Profit Factor
2.77
Kelly Fraction
0.424
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 5?BUY6.0¢29.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?BUY0.8¢107.5Mar 4
Will Rastriya Prajatantra Party win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY1.7¢147.059Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY6.0¢23.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 4?BUY98.4¢28.73Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 4?BUY98.4¢76.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 3?BUY98.9¢12.77Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 3?BUY1.1¢230Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?BUY1.8¢187.257Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 3?BUY98.9¢105.355Mar 3
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $310,000 and $315,000 by March 1?BUY4.8¢65.275Feb 28
Another US bank failure by February 28?BUY98.6¢0.2Feb 27
Another US bank failure by February 28?BUY98.6¢121.429Feb 27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY1.0¢245Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 6?BUY97.3¢0.16Feb 6
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $260?BUY3.1¢58.065Feb 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 6?BUY97.3¢119.259Feb 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?BUY98.5¢0.21Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?BUY98.5¢115.333Jan 31
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 30?BUY97.5¢0.39Jan 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%74%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.7%
Win Consistency34.7%
Profit Factor1.02
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity135 trades · 67 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11,6490d profit67d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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