0xbf935b...c96e4f

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.2%

Total P&L

+$2.9K

Trade Count

988

Sharpe Ratio

-0.82

Sortino Ratio

-0.92

Max Drawdown

20564.0%

ROI

3.2%

Profit Factor

15.11

Kelly Fraction

0.861

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?	BUY	95.5¢	69.275	Mar 4
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?	BUY	90.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	93.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	92.0¢	43.38	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	90.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	90.0¢	43.39	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	90.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	92.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?	BUY	96.4¢	22.72	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	1,301	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	94.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?	BUY	96.4¢	8.5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	80.1¢	32	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	BUY	89.0¢	55	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	BUY	84.7¢	10	Mar 4
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	25.4¢	3.9	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	88.5¢	20	Mar 4
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?	BUY	96.4¢	12.19	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	BUY	90.0¢	38.8	Mar 4
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	24.0¢	1.316	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%

Win Consistency56.0%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity988 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$34,4042d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue