0xbfc278...be4e7d

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.0%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.19

Max Drawdown

26.5%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	94.9¢	1.4	Mar 5
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	95.1¢	1.409	Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.4¢	1.25	Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.6¢	1.247	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.325	Mar 5
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	98.7¢	1.17	Mar 5
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.8¢	1.174	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	1.162	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	1.265	Mar 5
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	1,046.66	Mar 4
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.3¢	1,046.667	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.3¢	1.29	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.4¢	1.291	Mar 1
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1.43	Mar 1
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1.436	Mar 1
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	1.32	Mar 1
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	1.33	Mar 1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.6¢	1.22	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.1%

Win Consistency44.0%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity29 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$20d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue