0xbfcd1b...14b204

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.2%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

119

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.17

Max Drawdown

108.2%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

7.26

Kelly Fraction

0.778

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	5.323	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	42.0¢	7.92	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	43.9¢	7.927	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.9¢	12.52	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	76.1¢	12.523	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	5.37	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	5.371	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.3¢	5.24	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.5¢	5.246	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	95.0¢	1.36	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.8¢	1.364	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.3¢	4.82	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.2¢	4.823	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.3¢	2.716	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	95.1¢	10.97	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	89.9¢	10.979	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	9.28	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.4¢	9.284	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.6¢	8.33	Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	97.3¢	8.335	Nov 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency65.9%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity56 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

$2525d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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