0xbfd600...3aa888

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.8%

Total P&L

-$1.1K

Trade Count

487

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.26

Max Drawdown

3698.8%

ROI

-2.9%

Profit Factor

0.76

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	88.0¢	113.636	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	119.19	Mar 4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	133.333	Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	66.2¢	151.057	Mar 4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	127.583	Mar 3
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	SELL	50.0¢	66.51	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	SELL	50.0¢	117.2	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	92.0¢	53.848	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	116.279	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	93.0¢	107.527	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	50.63	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	77.0¢	129.87	Mar 2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	149.254	Mar 2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	69.8¢	71.633	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	217.391	Mar 2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	92.308	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	14.286	Mar 2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	81.0¢	246.914	Mar 2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	65.1¢	153.514	Mar 2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	67.6¢	147.905	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.0%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity458 trades · 125 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,87821d profit101d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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